Saturday, January 27, 2018

Eighth wonder - Power of Compounding

This article is based on a common thread of thoughts across various walks of life - be it investing, career, personal growth and so on. The common thread is the discovery of the inflection point when results far outweigh the ongoing efforts. When money grows at a much faster rate than the ongoing contributions; when the efforts put in a job are far less than the results coming out of it; when the physical output of the body (in a race) is far faster then the recent routines; when your followers on social media engage with you more than it used to; and so on.


In my opinion, the common thread in all the above scenarios is Power of Compounding. As #Einstien famously said - "Law of Compounding is the eighth wonder of the world"; it actually applies everywhere. What is compounding? Compounding is multiplication of small contributions done on a frequent basis till a fixed time when the output results much more than a linear addition.As learnt in mathematics, Vs a simple interest (SI=P*R*T), it is CI = P*(1+R/n)^nT where P is principal, R is rate of return, n is frequency of contributions within T, and T is time period and is always higher than SI. The key elements in this power are - P, R,n & T.

Lets look at investing, if you keep focusing on these 4 parameters - Start the investing process early say at the age of 18 (T is on your side), pick instruments which give higher returns (R) & keep putting these amounts at high frequency (say small investment but every day/week/month/yr (n), so that amount invested grows faster (P); you are looking at financial freedom. SIPs in mutual funds is an implementation of the same idea.

Lets look at sports/fitness, if you need to run a marathon in a stipulated time, you have to start with a discipline of effort every day (frequent contributions); followed by increase in durations (5k->10K->15K and so on); multiplied by a duration of such effort. At one stage, you will realize that you are clocking a mile much faster, also the effort it needs to consistently clock a 5K is slowing down. Most runs get converted into easy longer runs Vs when you first started. That's the inflection point. And what it means is that compounding of small disciplined efforts is now paving way for faster results.

Malcolm Gladwell, in his book, "Outliers" talks about 10,000 Hrs rule - If you invest 10,000 hrs into something; you master it. He says Why Beatles or Bill Gates were extraordinary success because the circumstances around their lives made them invest 10,000 hrs in playing or programming leading to mastery. Now, that's to an extent is also a result of application of power of compounding.

Take Career. The effort needed to make the first sale obviously is more than when you have mastered it. First you apply more hours and make up for lack of skill through quantity; but later as you develop the networks, the persuasiveness; you put in lesser quantity as power of compounding of consistent action is on your side. That is precisely the reason, as why most successful people mention 'Daily Habits' as the number one reason of their success. Good things done daily make themselves excellent over a period of time. And that is exactly why great quotes like these exist -

"You will never change your life until you change something you do daily”— Mike Murdock. “Little strokes fell great oaks.” –Benjamin Franklin

Slow and Steady wins the race - from the Hare & Tortoise story, is nothing but power of compounding! Small but consistent contributions will result in far greater results vs infrequent sprints. That's what stock markets are about. That's what careers are about. And i think, that's largely the life is about. Keep believing in the process, put in consistent efforts and you shall see the results coming through! Believe in the Power of Compounding. Ending this piece with another Einstein quote - "He, who understands the power of compounding, earns it and he who doesn't pays it".

Friday, January 19, 2018

Disruption = Demand, Supply and medium. A case of hotels

Disruption = Demand, Supply and medium.

In all industries, its the above 3 factors which define the transaction. And there lies the opportunity of #disruption.

Take example of #Hotel industry, demand was managed thru special travel agents who worked with special tieups and codes, making a booking a closed game. Boom. Came OTAs (Online Travel Agents) - #MakeMyTrip, #Ibibo of the world and disrupted the demand piece opening it for consumers.

Then came, #socialmedia and review sites like #Tripadvisor which forced the supply side to fix things up or perish as #consumer started booking basis reviews, giving power to the consumer and putting focus back on customer service.

And, sheer power movement from supply end to the consumer was not enough, boom, came #Airbnb/#oyo of the world which created newer ways of stays and created newer supply, right from consumers itself.

The disruption is because of change in the Medium which intersects demand and supply where all the above .coms and apps thrive. And it applies everywhere. Taxi industry - From power to suppliers like Meru its now with 'medium' of #Ola and #Uber.

The future belongs to those who take care of consumer and keep looking at disruption opportunities and embrace change.

Sunday, January 14, 2018

Patanjali & its captive consumer

With news of #Patanjali realizing its apparel dreams with 'Patanjali Paridhan' coming to fore, one can imagine what opportunity it is trying to tap in this category.

Its the big mass of loyal #customers who use patanjali ayurvedic medicines and FMCG products. Demographics - Everywhere, middle aged to old, across SECs. Psychographics - Faith in roots: be it ayurveda, swadeshi, religion, indigenous culture and so on.

What kind of #apparel will make sense? - All growing categories in apparel - Ethnic wear, athlesiure (read yoga wear), inner wear (closer to skin organics) and basic essentials in western wear.

#Brand Promise - Sasta, Shudh & Swadeshi.

"Clothing is Baba Ramdev's next big bet. His enterprise Patanjali — which has disrupted India's FMCG market — is set to enter the apparel business by May, The Ken reports (behind paywall). ‘Patanjali Paridhan’ will have 600-700 retail stores across the country in Tier 2 and 3 cities, though it has also partnered Big Bazaar’s fashion arm, FBB, for distribution. The products, priced at Rs 300-2,000, will compete with the likes of affordable fashion store V-Mart and FBB itself." - Linkedin News

Tuesday, January 09, 2018

2018 - Finance Goals

As new year arrives every year, we make a lot of resolutions and goals, out of  which there goals to manage our finances.

One would realize in life, that money can only be multiplied through investing, rather than putting endless hours in a job. Most of us, dont focus on multiplying money that we make, we just focus on making the money which is a much smaller amount than our life goals.

As stated in Rich Dad Poor Dad book, rich make thier money work while poor work for money.

Thus think about how to make your hard earned money work this year.

Here is an article on few thumb rules to fix the basics of your finances. Begin.

9 Thumb Rules Of Investing: Where & How Much to Invest? http://www.magzter.com/articles/2829/237142/599ca0cd36795?mg_pf=android_magzter&utm_ID=6585486

Wednesday, January 03, 2018

New Year #Resolutions & 'how' to stick to them in #2018!

New Year #Resolutions & 'how' to stick to them in #2018!

We all have this 'resolution syndrome' to pick up all should do(s) at least this year...every new year. But it doesnt happen.

Here is how you can do it in 2018 -

First, the resolution has to be something with a big '#why', something which is more than just a 'should do'. What is it that you want to offer the world? Who do you want to be, what do you want more of in your life? And then asking: “How might I get there? What would create that as a consequence?”

Second, outsourcing #willpower really works. Share your resolution with somebody to have a collective force to force you to stick to it. A friend, partner, etc can really pull you out of bed on your weakest days.

Third, #Bribe yourself. As with any habit making, add a reward after the act or reaching a milestone. A reward that obviously doesnt impact the resolution.  Eg, a shopping spree after a monthly goal.

Fourth, making your #goal public gets you #socialsupport. When you share something in public, say facebook; people's likes/comments add to the fuel.

Go ahead! And make it real this 2018!! It has given me the power to stick to mine in terms of #running as a #habit.

Summarized from this nice article -
https://lnkd.in/fjuRmVh